At this point, only the short-term future of Iran’s clerical regime remains in doubt. The current protests could be repressed, but the unelected institutions of priestly rule have been fatally undermined. Though each aspect of the Islamic Republic has its own dynamic, this is not a regime that can last many more years.
But the theocrats are not going to go quietly, and the “special courts” that are being established to deal with demonstrators will brutal and no doubt last as long as the regime does:
A senior official of Iran’s judiciary, which is controlled by the ruling Shiite Muslim clerics, said Tuesday that a special court would try detained protesters, the state-run Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) reported.
“Those arrested in recent events will be dealt with in a way that will teach them a lesson,” the official, Ibrahim Raisi, was quoted as saying. “The rioters should be dealt with in an exemplary way, and the judiciary will do that.” Raisi did not elaborate.
Every tool at the disposal of the West must be used to expedite the collapse of the Khamenei/Ahmadinejad regime. If general strikes develop, they will need publicity, and the president needs to keep up the rhetorical pressure he displayed yesterday. (The 4rth of July invites do need to be canceled.)
Average Americans wondering what they can do should visit Fandango and buy tickets for The Stoning of Soraya M which opens this weekend. I will have Cyrus Nowrasteh and Betsy Giffen Nowrasteh in studio for two hours today to discuss the film and the regime. I wrote my Washington Examiner column this week on how the movie’s success can send a message, so please support it by attending this weekend or by buying a ticket even if you can’t get to one of the theaters until next week.
Continue to follow the latest from inside Iran via the #iranelection hast tag at search.twitter.com.