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The Situation in Iraq

Monday, April 7, 2008  |  posted by Hugh Hewitt

The Boston Globe puts out the first edition of the new MSM spin: The good effects of the surge are unraveling in Iraq. But the paper’s own numbers don’t support the dire reading:

Overall, Iraqi deaths rose from a low of 568 in December and 541 in January to roughly 721 in February to more than 1,082 in March, according to statistics compiled by Iraq’s ministries of health, interior, and defense and confirmed by Smith. The vast majority were civilians.

“There was somewhere on the order of a 25 or 30 percent increase in the number of civilian casualties when you consider March compared to February,” Smith said, although “the numbers are still nowhere near what they had been last summer.”

US troop deaths have also crept up, from 23 in December – the lowest number since 2004 – to 40 in January, 29 in February, and 38 in March, according to, a website that tracks the deaths of US service members in Iraq through Pentagon press releases. Deaths are still lower than their monthly peak last year of 126 deaths in May.

The paper provides a chart which also fails to prove the central thesis of the piece:

Upticks in various measures of violence do not justify the paper’s rush to enable the partisans eager for failure in Iraq:

The rise in violence – blamed on both Shi’ite militants and Sunni extremists allied with Al Qaeda – has prompted war critics to argue that President Bush’s surge of 30,000 more troops last year, designed to stabilize the nation, merely postponed the inevitable deadly chaos that will follow an eventual US withdrawal.

Other analysts question whether the US strategy planted the seeds for greater bloodshed by funding, and arming, various Sunni and Shi’ite factions who may eventually battle one another or fight among themselves.

Iraq has been out of the headlines for months as the surge brought stability to large parts of the country. Now the left and their MSM allies are back, eager to have a “Tet” in the country that will help the Democrats in November. Be assured that no matter what the situation is in Iraq, you won’t be getting an accurate picture from the media every bit as invested in defeat as the Democrats.

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