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The Looming Storm

Tuesday, June 24, 2008  |  posted by Hugh Hewitt

Here’s a headline from MEMRI that should shake you up:

IAEA Director-General Dr. Muhammad Al-Baradei: Iran Can Produce Enough Enriched Uranium for a Nuclear Bomb in Six Months to a Year

The utter failure of the international community to stop Iran’s march towards nukes leaves very few options: Either strike Iran’s facilities or be subjected to the whims of a theocracy that could be the world’s first suicide nation.

Writing in the New York Sun, Eli Lake reviews possible Iranian responses to an attack by Israel or the U.S. to its nuclear facilities:

Possible scenarios include:

  • A terrorist attack on the Saudi oil port of Ras Tanura, an export point for oil bound for Asia. Saudi and American officials have in the past disrupted Al Qaeda plots on the facility, such as an attack on the Abqaiq oil processing plant near Dammam, Saudi Arabia, that killed two guards.
  • A naval assault on the U.S. 5th Fleet in the Persian Gulf. Iran still has warships equipped with Russian-designed Shkval torpedoes that it could fire at American vessels. Another possible attack would be suicide boat sorties similar to the one that bombed the USS Cole.
  • The commencement of a new round in the war between Hezbollah and Israel, with Hezbollah firing its Shihab missiles into Haifa and possibly the northern suburbs of Tel Aviv.
  • Hezbollah or Iranian intelligence terrorist operations on soft targets, such as shopping malls and community centers, in third countries and possibly even America.
  • A renewed effort to stir an uprising in Iraq through Moqtada al-Sadr’s Mahdi Army or the special groups controlled by Iran’s Revolutionary Guard.

This is not the time for a rookie in the White House.

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