Really Crunching The Numbers
The table below shows what Romney must do for victory if the likely scenario above plays out on 2/5. Essentially – Romney must win the three remaining winner-take all states AND he must beat McCain by an average margin of 61.45% to 38.54% in the other states. That is how Romney can reach the magic number of 1,191 delegates. This isn’t pretty, but (given the opposition to McCain in the GOP) this isn’t out of reach.
And of course Romney can do better than expected tomorrow, making his path forward easier still.