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The Road To 51 Needs 15 Key Wins In the Senate

Thursday, May 27, 2010  |  posted by Hugh Hewitt

Americans concerned over the increasingly grim situation of the country’s economy and its place in the world know that the November elections are a key to restoring fiscal sanity, military preparedness and national security seriousness to America.

My friend Geraghty the Indispensable has charted 99 House races in which Republicans are competitive in the fall. With a 59-41 Senate, the GOP must retain the seats of all incumbents, hold on to six “open” seats in New Hampshire, Florida, Kentucky, Ohio, Missouri and Utah, and must win 10 seats currently held by a Democrat. With most of the primaries concluded or with a front-runner in place, here are the tough races that Republicans must win on the road to 51.

I assume that the GOP will easily hold on to the seats it holds in Arizona and Utah. The former is assured if John McCain is nominated, and the latter appears to be a lock no matter who is nominated to replace Senator Bennett. Senators Burr in North Carolina and Vitter in Louisiana seem to be on a path to re-election.

The five “must holds” which will feature serious Democratic efforts to turn a red seat blue:

Marco Rubio must win in Florida over Kendrick Meek and Charlie Crist. Rubio is ahead among likely voters.

Rand Paul must win in Kentucky. Paul is ahead in most polls.

Rob Portman must win in Ohio. Portman is in a dead heat, but the state is trending GOP.

Kelly Ayotte must win in New Hampshire. Ayotte is leading in the polls.

Roy Blunt must win in Missouri. He is ahead in most polls.

The 11 target seats from which 10 victories must be collected:

Mike Castle must win in Delaware, and he is ahead in every poll.

Linda McMahon must win in Connecticut where the impact of Dick Blumentahl’s deceptions about his service in Vietnam will show up in polls beginning next week.

Pat Toomey must win in Pennsylvania, and the race is a dead heat as of now.

John Boozman must win in Arkansas and he is leading Blanche Lincoln.

Dan Coates must win in Indiana, and he is leading.

Mark Kirk must win in Illinois, and he is leading

John Hoeven must win in North Dakota and he is winning easily.

Jane Norton is the front-runner for the GOP nomination in Colorado and is in a dead heat with Michael Bennet.

The race between Sharon Angle, Sue Lowden and Danny Tarkanian for the GOP nomination and the right take on Harry Reid will be decided June 8, and it is very close. All three candidates are leading Reid at this point, though Reid clearly fears Lowden the most because of her personal wealth.

Dino Rossi must beat Patty Murray in Washington State, and he is going to be very competitive.

In California, the race between Tom Cambell, Chuck DeVore and Caley Fiorina has been spirited, but Carley Fiorina is surging, and she will be very competitive with Barbara Boxer.

In any other year, this map to a majority is very difficult to imagine happening.

But fueled by the Tea Party and energized by the president’s blend of ideological extremism and doleful incompetence, regaining a majority of the United States Senate is at least possible.

Each candidate’s name is linked to their online contribution site. Please consider at least a $25 contribution to one of them this long weekend, and if you can swing it, to all 16. That’s a $400 investment in the country’s future on the weekend we salute those who gave their all, and it really isn’t too much to ask.

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Transcript

Boehner: House GOP Will Join Call For Sestak Offer Special Prosecutor

Wednesday, May 26, 2010  |  posted by Hugh Hewitt

Republican House Leader John Boehner was on today’s program and discussed the president’s paralysis on the oil spill, the Texas border terrorist alert, his “100 seats in play” statement and the Sestak Affair. This is our exchange on the stonewall underway at the White House:

HH: Let me ask you a couple of things, Leader Boehner. Today, seven Senators on the Judiciary Committee in the United States Senate called for a special prosecutor, echoing a request of Darrell Issa from my neck of the woods, to the Department of Justice to investigate Congressman Sestak’s allegation of a job offer. What do you think about the need for a special prosecutor?

JB: Well, I think that the White House needs to come clean, and Joe Sestak needs to come clean. And if they want to have the special prosecutor, fine, let’s get it done. But I don’t know why these people just can’t tell us the truth of what happened. You know, these are some serious allegations that someone inside the White House offered him a job, to facilitate his withdrawal from the Pennsylvania primary against Senator Specter. And this is, it’s illegal, it’s inappropriate, and I don’t know why we have to wait on a special counsel. Why won’t they come out and tell us the truth? And I expect that you’ll see another letter from House Republicans tomorrow.

HH: Oh, well that’s very good to know. Now David Axelrod told CNN on the weekend, John King, that the allegations have been looked into, there’s no evidence of such wrongdoing. Are you not put, is your mind not at ease because David Axelrod told us everything’s okay, Leader Boehner?

JB: Ah, Hugh, you know, I told you a long time ago. I’ve got eleven brothers and sisters, and my dad wasn’t far…you know, I can smell B.S. a mile away.

HH: So this keeps up? The drumbeat keeps up until the answers are given?

JB: They’re going to have to come forward with the answers, because this is not going to go away.

The transcript of our conversation is here.

The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza also joined me and agreed that the Sestak controversy will not go away until the White House and the congressman answer the obvious questions:

HH: I’ve got to ask you whether you think the Sestak affair, l’Affair Sestak is going to get bigger.

CC: (laughing) I would say it will get more prominent before it gets less prominent. I wrote this today on the blog. Look, I don’t think that where the White House and where Sestak has left it is going to be acceptable. You can’t have the White House essentially saying trust us, no legal, no laws were broken here. We’re not going to tell you what the here is, but no laws were broken. And Sestak essentially having said yes, a job was offered to me, now not saying anything, this is just not a tenable political position to sit in. I would guess that within the next sort of 48 hours or so, it will move in one way, shape or form. I mean, look, it’s not in the White House or Joe Sestak’s interest to keep this story lingering out there. The question is how do they solve it? And I don’t know the answer to that yet, Hugh.

HH: Now 18USC, Section 600, criminalizes the promise of employment or other benefit for political activity. And then there’s conspiracy issues as well. These are all the statutes that are in play. I think they’ve just got to come out and say who talked to them, and what did they say, and Sestak’s got to confirm it. And until and unless we hear that, or Sestak repudiates his earlier statement, I think it goes on, Chris Cillizza. Am I wrong?

CC: No, I don’t think you’re wrong. I think what we’re going, my guess would be you know, I think like all legal matters, you can read the statute a lot of different ways. I’ve talked to Republican and Democratic lawyers in the last 24 hours who have read it in different ways. The question is, is it the same thing to simply float the idea that the job exists versus saying if you drop out, we will give you this job? And which, or either, did they do? And the question is, we don’t know that. Obviously, these were private conversations. Sestak said something happened. We know something happened. Sestak said it. Robert Gibbs has said nothing untoward happened. But obviously, something happened. They need to get to what is that something, and what they need, in terms of messaging, is why this is being made a bigger deal than it actually is.

The transcript of that interview is here.

Blogginghead’s TV with Kithbridge.com’s Rob Neppell

Wednesday, May 26, 2010  |  posted by Hugh Hewitt

Rob Neppell, one of the original thinkers in the new media consulting world, did his time in the Bloggingead’s machine recently. Here’s the link to his conversation with Robert Wright.

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“When she calls and says she needs help, we’re gonna give her some help.”

Wednesday, May 26, 2010  |  posted by Hugh Hewitt

President Obama’s willingness to drop everything and rush to San Francisco to help Barbara Boxer raise $1.7 million contrasts with his refusal to answer Louisiana’s request for a dredging permit to construct barrier islands to keep the oil from its beaches and wetlands. Louisiana filed for its permit on May 11, and the Obama Administration’s refusal to act on it is pushing Bobby Jindal to blast the federal response.

“We’ve got a lot on our plate right now, so I don’t travel for just anybody,” Obama told Democratic donors Tuesday night at San Francisco’s Fairmont Hotel. “But when it comes to Barbara Boxer, I’m a lot like you: When she calls and says she needs help, we’re gonna give her some help.”

Perhaps if Jindal threw a fundraiser for Barbara Boxer, he could get the president’s attention.

One of last night’s events was held at the home of the Gettys, so perhaps he talked about the oil spill crisis there.

The pictures of the impact to Louisiana are already demonstrating the devastation. Perhaps they were shown on the wall at the swank Fairmont last night.

The reassuring thing is that MSM would have treated Bush exactly the same had he traveled cross-country to attend an exclusive $17,500-a-couple Dallas fundraiser for the most conservative member of the Senate even as Katrina’s aftermath paralyzed New Orleans.

President Barack Obama waves after speaking at a fundraiser for Sen. Barbara Boxer, D-Calif., in San Francisco, Tuesday, May 25, 2010.

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