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Tuesday, January 06, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 5:20 PM
Two Atlantic writers join me on today's program to discuss the Israel-Hamas war --Jeffrey Goldberg and Robert Kaplan.

Kaplan is very familiar to my audience, and every one of his visits very welcome.  His most recent book is Hog Pilots, Blue Water Grunts.

Goldberg has extensive experience in Israel, and his book Prisoners, is all about the Israeli-Palestinian relationship.

Goldberg wrote this on his blog yesterday:

I have friends in Gaza about whom I worry a great deal; I've seen many people killed in Gaza; I've served in the Israeli Army in Gaza; I've been kidnapped in Gaza; I've reported for years from Gaza; I hope my former army doesn't kill the wrong people in Gaza; I hope Israeli soldiers all leave Gaza alive; I know they'll be back in Gaza; I think this operation will work; and I have no actual hope that it will work for very long, because nothing works for very long in the Middle East. Gaza is where dreams of reconciliation go to die. Gaza is where the dream of Palestinian statehood goes to die; Gaza is where the Zionist dream might yet die. Or, more to the point, might be murdered.

Goldberg ought to be guesting on every cable channel --if cable channels were interested in what is happening in Gaza that is.

Hog Pilots, Blue Water Grunts: The American Military in the Air, at Sea, and on the Ground (Vintage Departures)Prisoners: A Story of Friendship and Terror (Vintage)


Tuesday, January 06, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 9:12 AM
Professor Michael Oren of the Shalem Center in Jerusalem and the Georgetown's School of Foreign Service is also a reservist in the IDF.  He has been called up to active duty, and I interviewed him yesterday from his position near the Israeli-Gaza border.

The transcript is here.  The podcast is here.


Monday, January 05, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 8:02 PM
Today's program featured interviews on the Israel-Hamas war with the Shalem Center's Michael Oren and Martin Kramer from Israel (Oren is on active duty with the IDF), ThreatsWatch's Stephen Schippert and the Center for Security Policy's Frank Gaffney.

It also contained a long, five segment conversation with Salon.com's Glenn Greenwald, a critic of Israel (and most Israel supporters in America).  Here's the transcript of that conversation:

HH: Pleased to welcome now to the Hugh Hewitt Show Glenn Greenwald. He’s a columnist for Salon.com, he’s also the author of many, many books. He’s a friend of our late, departed friend, Dean Barnett as well. Glenn, welcome to the program, good to have you on.



GG: Great to be here, Hugh.



HH: Glenn, you’ve been writing a lot about Israel-Gaza. I’m spending most of the show today talking to people like Michael Oren and others about Israel and Gaza. Summarize for the audience your opinion of what’s going on and the American reaction to it.



GG: Well, my focus is basically, since I’m American and not Israeli, on American policy towards Israel, and the fact that we don’t have nearly the interest in the dispute that the Israelis have with the Palestinians over who controls what West Bank hill, and what part of Gaza is controlled by the Israelis. And so the bulk of what I’ve been writing about is questioning why the United States involves itself in every dispute that the Israelis have as though we’re a partisan in that dispute. But beyond that, I think there’s real questions about whether what the Israelis are doing is both just and wise from their perspective.



HH: Let’s come back to that, but pause for a moment on Hamas. Do you think Hamas is a threat to the United States?



GG: No, I don’t think Hamas is remotely a threat to the United States. I think Saddam Hussein was more of a threat to the United States, and I don’t think he was a threat to the United States.



HH: Do you think Hamas is an extension of Iran?



GG: No, I don’t think Hamas is an extension of Iran.
Read More...



Monday, January 05, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 9:38 AM
I'll be very sorry to see Al Franken be declared a winner today, though of course there's at least one more round to go in the courts.

And I'm intrigued by the talk of a massive tax cut in the stimulus package.  The president-elect surprised us with his national security selections, and perhaps he will with his economic program as well.  When he meets with GOP Leaders McConnell and Boehner today, they should push the tax cuts and a strong spending surge for nuclear power.  A package they could support would be good for the country.

The departure of Bill Richardson makes you wonder how long it will be to a Patrick Fitzgerald in the Enchantment State calls a press conference.

But as interesting and important as all these stories are, the pale in comparison to the battle in Gaza to topple Hamas.

Hamas is an al Qeada-like terrorist organization, and though manned by Sunnis, it operates as the proxy of the radical mullahs of Iran.  As long as it controls Gaza i poses a threat not just to Israel but to Egypt and the wider region, as well as the future of all Palestinians.  Bill Kristol is correct today to note in his New York Times' column:



An Israeli success in Gaza would be a victory in the war on terror — and in the broader struggle for the future of the Middle East. Hamas is only one manifestation of the rise, over the past few decades, of a terror-friendly and almost death-cult-like form of Islamic extremism. The combination of such terror movements with a terror-sponsoring and nuclear-weapons-seeking Iranian state (aided by its sidekick Syria) has produced a new kind of threat to Israel.

But not just to Israel. To everyone in the Middle East — very much including Muslims — who aren’t interested in living under the sway of extremist regimes. And to any nation, like the United States, that is a target of Islamic terror. So there are sound reasons why the United States — whether led by George W. Bush or Barack Obama — will stand with Israel as it fights.

Every civilian casualty in Gaza is a terrible thing, but terrorists work to maximize civilian casualties, and Israel cannot allow Hamas to create a zone within which it is invulnerable to attack.  Now that it is launched, Israel must stay as long as necessary to uproot Hamas and provide at least an opportunity for the people of Gaza to join with the people of the West Bank in some sort of near-normal state not constantly thirsting for war with Israel.

The stakes are thus huge, though apparently only little understood by most of the networks.  The coverage of the battle against Hamas is startlingly void of any characterization of Hamas, as though Hamas was a state actor and not a terrorist group.  Israel's battle against Hamas is exactly the battle America wages against al Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan, except that Hamas' outrages against Israel are more recent in time, and continue to this day. 

The left --see Simon Tisdall's column in The Guardian-- is angry that the president-elect hasn't come out forcefully criticizing Israel.  This is astonishing, as the president-elect, if he does anything before taking office, must confirm that the United States stands with its closest ally in the region.  Surely the incoming Secretaryof State will make that clear in her first week in office, and if the left screams, so be it. 

The longtime enemies of Israel in the West confuse their old grievances against the Jewish state with today's challenges.  Hamas is not Fatah, and Iran is not Egypt of 1973.  Whatever one thinks of the fence, of the Lebanon invasion of 1983, of the refusal to divide Jerusalem etc, the nature of Hezbollah to the north, Hamas to the south, and especially Iran over the horizon oblige Israel's critics to give up their canards and deal with the fact that you cannot negotiate with entities that want your total destruction.  Any commentary that doesn't acknowledge the nature of Hamas is as dishonest as it is ignorant of the reality facing Israel today, one which the new president should acknowledge as soon as he enters office -if not sooner.





Sunday, January 04, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 5:43 PM
The Jerusalem Post reports damage to the Hamas command-and-control structure.

But the Belmont Club notes that Hamas has a high probability of survival unless the Israelis find some way to compromise the Hamas internal security structure.

Does the lame duck Israeli government have the strength of will to take as long as necessary to cripple Hamas?  Will the Obama Adminstration stand by Israel if Israel does attempt to crush the terrorist organization?

As John Hinderaker points out, the Islamist radical fringe is already blaming the president-elect for Israel's offensive.  It is hard to imagine that the new president or his secretary of state would begin their time in office by pressuring Israel to end its battle against Hamas, but the silence from the transition office is worrying. 


Sunday, January 04, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 5:40 PM
E-mail from my favorite ad exec, "Bear in the Woods":

While contemplating the New Year -- resolutions, economy and all -- and wondering what adjustments will ultimately be made to the tone and technique of conservative communications, I found myself feeling cautiously optimistic about the Right's opportunity to oppose, for a couple of reasons.  Both reasons, of course, warrant explanation, so here goes:
Read More...


Sunday, January 04, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 10:43 AM
Yossi Klein Halevi and Michael B. Oren write in today's Los Angeles Times on Israel's "unique chance to deal a strategic blow to Iranian expansionsim."  Key graphs:

If Israel successfully overthrows Hamas in Gaza, it would strengthen anti-Iranian forces throughout the Mideast and signal the region that Iranian momentum can be reversed. The Israeli military operation could begin the process that topples a terrorist regime that seized power in the Gaza Strip in 2007 and has fired thousands of rockets and mortar shells into Israeli neighborhoods.

And whether or not Hamas is ultimately overthrown, Israel can achieve substantial goals. The first is an absolute cease-fire. Previous cease-fires allowed Hamas to launch two or three rockets a week into Israel and to smuggle weapons into Gaza through tunnels. To obtain a cease-fire now, the international community should recognize Israel's right to respond to any aggression over its international border and monitor the closure of Hamas' weapons-smuggling tunnels.

Above all, the goal is to ensure that Hamas is unable to proclaim victory and thereby enhance Iranian prestige in the Arab world.


Removing Iran's influence from Gaza would allow genuine negotiations between Israel and the PLA to proceed, and for Gaza to be reincorporated within the Palestinian polity.  Hamas will never agree to a lasting peace with Israel, no matter the terms.  Any commentary that does not proceed from that understanding is worthless.  There's no guarantee that the PLA can reform itself into a responsible partner with Israel in establishing a long-term solution for the region, but there is no practical probability that Hamas ever will.







Sunday, January 04, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 10:32 AM
Fresh Bilge has the details.

The Times of London takes them mainstream.

My posts on "An Inconvenient National Park" are linked here.

The Yellowstone-Teton Epicenter site is here.

For the best read on the subject, grab Bill Bryson's A Short History of Nearly Everything.

If my suggestion to make Bryson's wonderful walk through science the standard 9th grade text in the U.S. had been adopted, hundreds of thousands of young Americans would be much better informed about Yellowstone --and nearly everything else involving science.

 





Sunday, January 04, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 12:17 AM


Saturday, January 03, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 7:21 PM
The Jerusalem Post reports on the Hamas assault on Fatah loyalists within Gaza, even as the Israeli ground assault takes a significant toll on Hamas.  PLA President Abbas may be asking the U.N. to intervene, but these graphs make you wonder if he isn't hoping that the international community moves very slowly to condemn the Israeli action --if at all:

 

Fatah officials in Ramallah told The Jerusalem Post that Hamas militiamen had been assaulting many Fatah activists since the beginning of the operation last Saturday. They said at least 75 activists were shot in the legs while others had their hands broken.

Wisam Abu Jalhoum, a Fatah activist from the Jabalya refugee camp, was shot in the legs by Hamas militiamen for allegedly expressing joy over the IDF air strikes on Hamas targets.

"Hamas is very nervous, because they feel that their end is nearing," a senior Fatah official said. "They have been waging a brutal campaign against Fatah members in the Gaza Strip."

Meanwhile, sources close to Hamas revealed over the weekend that the movement had "executed" more than 35 Palestinians who were suspected of collaborating with Israel and were being held in various Hamas security installations.




Saturday, January 03, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 10:29 AM
About 1,000 absentees will be opened today.  A live broadcast from the recount is here at TheUptake. 

 


Saturday, January 03, 2009
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 10:10 AM
That's the headline in the New York Times, and many voices in the article echo what Brian Wesbury, chief economist of First Trust Portfolios has been saying on my program since November: It is a nasty recession, but this is the end of the standard business cycle and recovery will begin in 2009, perhaps even in the first half of 2009.

The world, in short, isn't ending, and markets and home prices will recover.  Key graphs:



But the economy will no longer be contracting, and the recession that started in December 2007 will end at 18 or 21 months of age. The previous record holders, severe recessions in the mid-1970s and early 1980s, each lasted 16 months.

“I think that consumers are certainly in a state of shock right now, but their behavior is fundamentally rational,” said Martin Regalia, chief economist at the United States Chamber of Commerce. “They want to work, they want to make money and they want to spend that money. Above all they are resilient. They lick their wounds and with some help from government, they start back again and we come out of this quickly.”

A key to the revival, in every forecast, is home construction and home prices. The latter are still falling, at an even faster pace, adjusted for inflation, than in the Great Depression, according to the S.& P./Case-Shiller Home Price Indices.

That has the knock-on effect of multiplying foreclosures and trapping millions of people in homes that are worth less than their outstanding mortgages. Such circumstances inevitably depress spending and business investment.

But housing will probably bottom out by spring, many forecasters now argue. The Federal Reserve will play a role in making this happen by buying mortgage-backed securities and, in doing so, lowering the rate on 30-year mortgages to less than 5 percent, which is roughly the present level. That will encourage not only home buying, but also refinancing.


The Washington Post reports on the downside of the upside, which is the huge increase in the national debt that will follow the massive stimulus package that will pass in short order.  The job of the GOP in these times is to assure as much as possible that the spending goes to genuionely productive undertakings that will promote long-term growth and to carve out the giveaways to special interests.  As much tax relief as can be had should be gotten.

Next week's meeting between the president-elect and GOP Senate and House Leaders McConnell and Boehner will signal whether the new president intends to govern domestically from the center or from the left.  If the former, the stimulus package will include some crucial tax cuts to encourage business investment and home building. 

Fingers crossed.... 



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