
The ground is shifting. A few months ago, the American people, discouraged by an American War effort that was clueless and ineffective, wanted to abandon the Iraqi people to whatever Hobbesian fate might await them. Even on the right, America’s finest columnist, Charles Krauthammer, had summed up the Iraq war by saying in so many words, “America gave Iraq its freedom; the Iraqi people chose to use that freedom to indulge its appetite for sectarian strife and chaos.” If the war effort was on the verge of losing Krauthammer…
But that was then and this is now. Since David Petraeus took over operations in Iraq, America has had a clear and coherent strategy. From the top down the American military has functioned more effectively. As a consequence, America as a whole is now feeling better about the war; for obvious reasons, this change scares the stuffing out of the left.
Although it was grossly unfair to our hundreds of thousands of soldiers who served courageously and nobly in Iraq, the Abu Ghraib scandal emerged as the symbol of the first three years of the war effort. Abu Ghraib embodied everything that war critics sometimes rightly laid at the feet of the administration – operational indifference, inattention to detail, and yes, incompetence.
Yesterday, Bill Kristol returned to Fox News Sunday after a couple of weeks away with Fred Barnes stepping in as his understudy. (Cries of “Refund!” could be heard from Fox News viewers across the nation.) Kristol had been in Iraq for almost two weeks. It was a pretty serious trip – he saw much of the country and got to break bread with General Petraeus.
On FNS, Kristol told the story of the improving situation in Iraq. But his spreading that news wasn’t the most interesting aspect of his commentary yesterday. The Brookings duo of Pollack and O’Hanlon not only beat him to the punch on that score with their op-ed last Monday, but also preceded him on the air on FNS.
Kristol’s most interesting remarks came when he discussed what happened in Iraq in 2006. I’m paraphrasing here because I’m too lazy to look for a transcript or re-watch my DVR recording of the show (I golf on summer Sunday mornings, even if the Republicans decide to schedule a debate). Kristol said words to the effect of, “2006 was a disastrous year in Iraq, and for the President and Rumsfeld and Casey to have allowed it to degenerate as much as it did then almost excuses the voters turning Congress over to the Democrats in November.” He said the “almost” with a grin, slyly suggesting that the Bush administration’s multi-year quest to call its competence into question (think Katrina, Harriet Miers, Alberto Gonzales, and most of all Iraq) did indeed justify the electorate’s decision to “throw the bums out.”
Alberto Gonzales is still sadly the attorney general, but David Petraeus has removed the stench of incompetence and indecision from the Iraqi theatre. The American people feel better about the war effort because it has improved markedly. That’s one of the reasons the Beauchamp Diarists so exercised many of us who not only support the troops but also hope they succeed. In addition to containing obvious untruths and exaggerations, the whole Diarist exercise came right out of the outdated My-Lai/Abu Ghraib playbook. The facts on the sand have changed. It’s not too much to expect even the most tendentious of liberals to reflect this in their writings.
SO WHAT’S THIS HAVE TO DO WITH POLITICS? With a disastrous war effort afoot, emotional political appeals to bring the troops home immediately had some resonance and made at least a little sense. But with the war having improved in quantifiable ways and the mission in Iraq progressing, being a knee-jerk anti-war pol has become like so 2006. Ron Paul may rally the 1% of voters who simply adore him, but his irresponsible and shrill demand that the troops instantly come home en masse is becoming increasingly anachronistic.
The leading Democratic candidates know this. Being anti-war as a basic principle never made much more sense than being anti-cancer or anti-male pattern baldness. There are times in human events when war is an unfortunate necessity, even for the most well intentioned nation. When a war is being mismanaged (or non-managed) as the Iraq War was for an extended period, the accompanying stumbling serves to accredit a reactionary sort of peacenik politics that thinks it would be a swell thing to have tea with Ahmadenijad and Kim Jong Il.
Fortunately for us all, the Democratic candidates are now realizing that that kind of breathtaking irresponsibility won’t be a winner at the ballot box. Even among Democratic voters, Barack Obama’s attempt to blend pathetic naivete with vapid hope has gone over like the proverbial lead balloon. According to the latest Rasmussen Poll, the considerably more hawkish Hillary Clinton now leads Obama 43% to 22%.
With the use of American force no longer discredited, the Democrats are going to have to show the ability and willingness to rattle the occasional saber. That’s what Obama tried to do when he picked on our ally in Pakistan. Given the maladroitness of that effort, perhaps the current Democratic field with the exception of Hillary lacks the ability to even talk tough, let alone act tough.
Regardless, it’s heartening to see the most dovish Democrats trying to be more serious about American force and upgrading their rhetoric beyond merely offering the platitudinous mantra of “Bring the kids home!” Right now, they correctly sense they’ll need to do better. Whether or not they’ll be able to is an open question.
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