Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 11:14 PM

I moderated a discussion of school choice with Juan Willaims and Andrew Bretbart tonight to help kick off School Choice Awareness week.  Both men are strong advocates of reforming the public school system in fundamental ways, and the conversation was a fascinating departure from the standard back-and-forth from cable land.

For more information, visit SchoolChoiceWeek.com.

And take some time to watch the new film A Tale of Two Missions which features Juan Williams, available at TwoMissionsMovie.com.

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Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 11:12 PM


 
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 11:10 PM


 
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 7:01 PM

The long and the short of it:  The Florida primary will decide the nominee.

This is good because Florida is a must-win, swing state, and a great place to test the eventual nominee.

My longer take is here at NationalReview.com.

Now off to broadcast a special two hour show on the result along with Chris Cillizza, Mike Allen, Larry O'Connor, Fred Barnes, Mark Tapscott, Ed Morrissey and Guy Benson. 

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Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 9:00 AM

http://flashtrafficblog.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/rjc-mittnewtrick.jpg

I will be hosting an election special after the polls close at 7 PM EST on most of my regular stations and many more besides. 

If you are away from the radio, you can listen to many of the usual suspects --Barnes and Barone, Benson and Tapscott, Geraghty, MK Ham and many more via any of my many affiliates such as 1260 WRC in DC, 990 WNTP in Philly, 1420 WHK in Cleveland, 710 KNUS in Denver 1280 the Patriot in the Twin Cities, KKNT 960 The Patriot in Phoenix, or 870 KRLA in LA

One of my affiliates in South Carolina, WJMX 970 in Florence or 660/92.9 in Greenville might be very interesting for the local reports on turnout etc. To learn who is running what on conservative radio in Florida, try Tampa Bay's 860 WGUL or Orlando's 660 WORL.

Two late posts underscore how Romney will benefit from a growing worry that a Gingrich nomination would spell doom for the GOP:  John Hinderaker's at Powerline and John Taylor's at Episconixonian.  That spreading sense of panic at the prospect of Newt as GOP standard-bearer because of numbers like these won't arrive in time to stop Gingrich in the Palmetto State, and Newt supporters like Dan Riehl and Chuck Norris explain why they won't be deterred from voting Newt.

Rick Santorum had huge crowds at his rallies yesterday, and raised more than a million in 48 hours, with the totals still rising.  He may lose some voters today as the Palmetto State's voters are notoriously late-deciding, but he could also surprise.

The Huffington Post of all places warns against predictions, but when one poll --yes, a left wing outfit PPP-- shows a near double-digit Newt lead, it is hard to imagine Newt losing.

Which will mean that Florida will have put itself exactly where it wanted to be --at the crossroads of campaign 2012 on January 31.  Its governor Rick Scott hasn't yet declared an endorsement.  Its senator, Marco Rubio, almost certainly won't (but if he did it would end the discussion.)  And former Florida Governor Jeb Bush could push the state in one direction or the other.  These three enormous stories within a story will also be played out against the backdrop of the campaign's first parallel campaign on Spanish language television and radio, and with the added ingredients of early voting and absentees by the hundreds of thousands. 

Florida is also the first winner-take-all state, so it really is a true test of general election strength with it being a swing state that the GOP must absolutely win.  A Gingrich win tonight will set off an extraordinary reaction because of these numbers, a reaction that will for the first time communicate to fence-sitters that they must decide as opposed to playing it safe.  Every senator, congressman, and state legislator and governor has to consider what a Romney or a Gingrich ticket would mean, and act accordingly.  It will be a fascinating ten days.

Unless Gingrich underperforms and Santorum surges or Romney wins outright.  In which case, disregard everything everyone has written.

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Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 5:37 PM

Conn Carroll explains why I expect the flood of GOP endorsements to keep rolling towards Mitt Romney, even if Newt Gingrich wins tomorrow's South Carolina primary.  The former Speaker's negatives could imperil not just the campaign to take the White House but also the House majority and the chance to retake the Senate.  Many in the Tea Party might be willing to take that flyer, however, just for the sharp edge that Newt brings to the debate.  Pete Wehner expands on the downside of this approach for the conservative movement as a whole.

Rick Santorum joins me in the second hour of today's program and I will ask him about this.  The transcript will be posted here later.

And don't miss tomorrow's special Saturday broadcast as I cover the results from South Carolina from 7 to 9 PM EST on most of regular stations and with many of my regular guests and analysts.

The Santorum transcript:



HH: Joined now by Senator Rick Santorum in South Carolina. His website, www.ricksantorum.com, running a money bomb right now. Senator, welcome back. 

RS: Thank you very much, Hugh. Thanks for having me on.

HH: It did not get asked last night, so I’m going to ask it first. What is the extent of the problem that Iran presents the international community, and what would President Santorum do about it?

RS: Iran is a radical theocracy that is intent on spreading their version of radical theocracy throughout the Middle East. They are an existential threat to the state of Israel, and frankly, to the Muslim world, and obviously, the Sunni Muslim world in particular that is concerned about it. An Iran nuclear weapon would mean, in all likelihood, a Turkey and Saudi nuclear weapon. But most importantly, they would use that weapon to either protect themselves from an attack, and then use that now-protected status to even more aggressively purvey terror in and around the world, and expand their reach. It would fundamentally change the security posture of our country, as well as every other country in the world. And as a result of that, they simply cannot get that weapon. And I put forth a ten point plan. It’s on my website, www.ricksantorum.com, which ratchets it up to the point where the final action would be they either open up this facility and…for us to inspect it, or if not, and stop the processing for nuclear weapons facilities, or we will take that facility out. That’s the ultimate step that we’ll take, but that is on the table.

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Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 4:53 PM

The 15th hour of 15 hours a week of radio --the third hour of Friday's show-- is usually given over to movies, but today's third hour is a mix of movies --David Allen White preps you to see Coriolanus-- and T. Jefferson Parker joins me to talk about the latest Charlie Hood novel, The Jaguar, which is very different from any other cop story you have read --but read The Iron River and The Border Lords first.

The Jaguar (Charlie Hood)
 

 
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 10:27 AM

Yes, I called this and its timing yesterday, but Governor McDonnell had tipped his hand on my Wednesday show.

This is a big deal.  McDonnell, like Christ Christie, led the national resurgence of the GOP in the Obama era by winning a governorship in a state won by Obama in '08.  McDonnell survived the relentless attacks of the Washington Post and ran against the Chicago machine that was trying to blunt his attacks on Obamacare. 

McDonnell, Christie, Pawlenty, Thune, Ayotte and Haley --these are all veterans of tough, close, state-wide campaigns that they won.  This is why their individual and collective endorsements matter in a way that most endorsements do not.  It may impact South carolina, and it will certainly impact Florida and beyond. 

Now let me tell you a story 'bout a man named Jeb...

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Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 9:38 AM



There are six "scheduled" debates left.  If the campaign goes beyond February, there will be more proposed.  CNN's John King showed again last night, as ABC and NBC did in New Hampshire, that MSM cannot be trusted to run a serious debate.  Entertaining, yes, but not serious.  Not even remotely 9/11 serious.

Not a single question about Iran which, the day before the debate, John King had told me was the one issue he guaranteed would come up because of its importance.  None of the issues that lead to necessary and blistering criticisms of President Obama --the presidents hostility to Israel, the failed stimulus, Solynrda and other green failures, massive defense cuts, Boeing and the NLRB, the out-of-control EPA, the recess appointments, fast-and-furious etc etc etc-- are brought up by the legacy media because they hate to be the ones to tee up the GOP's rightful criticism of the president.

So strip the legacy media of the power to distort the discussion.  The RNC should announce it will hold debates on the dates already selected and in the cities scheduled, but that it will invite CSPAN, not a network, to air them, that Preibus will do the intros and then turn the proceedings over to a panel of four questioners, one each selected by the four candidates from a long list of journalists/commentators/public intellectuals approved by the RNC as professional and mainstream.  There may be some familiar faces from the nets like Bret Baire and Candy Crowley, Megyn Kelly and Jake Tapper, and obvious potential questioners include Rush, Charles Krauthammer, Bill Bennett, John Podhoretz, Bill Kristol, Fred Barnes, Rich Lowry, etc but no Trumps and no more MSMers in effect defending the president by steering the conversation away from the big issues and especially those on which the president has manifestly failed. 

Then perhaps the GOP electorate can, after 17 tries, get a sustained, serious conversation about what is wrong with the country, how to fix it, and who is the best nominee to beat the president and carry the Senate while maintaining the House majority.

That's what GOP voters want to know and that's not what the MSM wants them to learn.

All of the 17 debates to date ought to have been about the president and what he has done, failed to do and will do if re-elected.  None of them have had that focus, not one. 

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Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 8:52 AM



Gingrich attacked CNN.  Santorum attacked Newt.  Romney attacked Obama.

CNN opened its post-debate coverage with the short clip of Rick Santorum saying "Grandiosity has never been a problem with Newt Gingrich," and just as they had when Santorum first said it in the debate, Team Romney must have cheered in their gathering room, and the Chicago gang must have sighed.  That clip will play over and over again in SuperPac ads that aren't paid for by Santorum because it conveys in succinct fashion all the messages that all of Newt's critics have been sending from the moment the former Speaker denounced Paul Ryan's Medicare plan as "right wing social engineering" to Newt's more recent attacks on free enterprise. 

"You're right," Newt replied.  "I think grandiose thoughts." 

And there you have it.  Newt absolutely loves being the center of attention, and in this regard he does indeed resemble President Obama in self-regard.  His ability to consistently thrash MSMers fuels Newt's confidence that he could crush the president in debates.  (Debates, by the way, that I am beginning to doubt Obama will agree to with any of the GOP contenders given how well each of them does in these settings and how the president's at-best unproven skills --Senator McCain was simply terrible in the fall debates-- appear to have declined under the weight of his high self-regard for his own world-historicalness.)

Whatever voters in South Carolina decide it increasingly appears that Mitt Romney will be the nominee as all Republicans from center-right to very conservative seek for the nominee who can win, not debates with MSM moderators, but an election against Barack Obama.  My Townhall.com column yesterday went through the specifics of the 13 state election ahead, and of the example of the polling data from crucial Ohio.  A national election in deeply troubled times cannot be won by grandiosity, but by sober, specific, competent plans communicated by a confident, experienced leader of accomplishment and character.  I think a Gingrich-Romney-Santorum set of debates about the world and how America ought to face it would be very good, but another two hours without mention Iran, Syria, Pakistan's nukes and the grave threats to Israel serves no purpose at all.  The MSM simply cannot be trusted to be serious because to be serious is to quietly impeach the president for his gravest errors.  Romney should announce that he will debate Gingrich and Santorum and yes, even Paul, but only if they each nominate one of the panelists and those panelists have a long involvement in the public debate.  There are plenty of people, but the campaign needs to be serious going forward, not WWF-meets-CNN.  (More on this subject here.)

Not one question on Iran?  No extended discussion of the president's 20,000 jobs-killing veto of the Keystone Pipeline?  Not a single question about Obama's "strategic reassessment" of America's military that will cut it by a trillion dollars and greatly weaken America's defenses? In South Carolina?  These debates, no matter the format and no matter the MSMer at the control, fail to deliver the opportunity for the opposition to present its plans for turning the country around, so they fail the country and the campaigns, and so should end except as organized by the candidates themselves.

The real campaign needs to begin, and soon, which is why even if South Carolina gives Newt a story to tell for the next few years, Florida and beyond will nominate Romney ir Santorum and then the real debate will get underway:  How best to repair the massive damage done by the worst president of modern times.

Team Romney released a set of quotes on Newt's grandiosity problem last night.  It is titled using the former Speaker's own phrase "I think grandiose thoughts."  I reproduce it here for your convenience:

Gingrich on Gingrich:

  • “I Think I Am A Transformational Figure.” (PBS.org, 12/2/11)
  • “I Am Essentially A Revolutionary.” (Adam Clymer, “House Revolutionary,” The New York Times, 8/23/92)
  • “Philosophically, I Am Very Different From Normal Politicians … We Have Big Ideas.” (Andrew Ferguson, “What Does Newt Gingrich Know?” The New York Times, 6/29/11)
  • “I Have An Enormous Personal Ambition. I Want To Shift The Entire Planet. And I’m Doing It. … I Represent Real Power.” (Lois Romano, “Newt Gingrich, Maverick On The Hill,” The Washington Post, 1/3/85)
  • “I First Talked About [Saving Civilization] In August Of 1958.” (Robert Draper, “He's Baaack!” GQ, 8/05)
  • “Over My Years In Public Life, I Have Become Known As An ‘Ideas Man.’” (Andrew Ferguson, “What Does Newt Gingrich Know?” The New York Times, 6/29/11)
  • “I Am The Longest Serving Teacher In The Senior Military, 23 Years Teaching One And Two-Star Generals And Admirals The Art Of War.” (GOP Presidential Candidates Debate, 12/15/11)

Speaker Gingrich Has Compared Himself to a Litany of Historical Leaders:

Ronald Reagan And Margaret Thatcher: “Gingrich said he learned a lot about himself in the political wilderness. … In the same breath, he compares himself to two conservative giants. With Gingrich, humility has its limits. ‘Because I am much like Reagan and Margaret Thatcher, I’m such an unconventional political figure that you really need to design a unique campaign that fits the way I operate and what I’m trying to do.’” (Jim Acosta, “Newt Gingrich Back From The Brink,” CNN.com, 11/16/11)

Abraham Lincoln: “Gingrich began his speech with remarks in which he predicted an economic recovery ‘literally’ the night Republicans would send Barack Obama home, and then announced, ‘I begin as Lincoln did.’ He argued that, like Lincoln, all his ideas came out of the Declaration of Independence.” (Jason Horowitz, “Newt Gingrich Draws Contrast With Romney,” The Washington Post, 12/1/11)

Woodrow Wilson: “He earned a PhD in history and taught college before winning a seat in Congress. He has often spoken of himself as a historian. In 1995, he told CNN’s Bob Franken: ‘I am the most seriously professorial politician since Woodrow Wilson.’” (John Pitney, “Five Myths About Newt Gingrich,” The Washington Post, 11/22/11)

Henry Clay: “Putting his tumultuous four years in the speaker’s chair into historical perspective, the former history professor compared himself to 19th century statesman Henry Clay, ‘the great compromiser’ who lost three bids for the presidency and served as speaker and secretary of State. Gingrich said that like Clay, he did more than just preside over the House. ‘I was not a presider, I was the leader,’ Gingrich said in the interview. ‘I think Henry Clay’s probably the only other speaker to have been a national leader and a speaker of the House simultaneously.’” (William Welch, “Gingrich: I’ll Go Down As Leader, Clinton As Tragedy,” USA Today, 8/30/99)

Charles De Gaulle: “‘At one point, I asked Gingrich, now a healthful-looking 65, about his sudden exit from Congress in 1998. ‘First of all, in the Toynbeean sense, I believe in departure and return,’ he told me. ‘In the what sense?’ I asked. ‘Arnold Toynbee,’ he replied matter-of-factly, referring to the English writer Arnold J. Toynbee, who wrote ‘A Study of History.’ ‘I believe in the sense that, you know, De Gaulle had to go to Colombey-les-Deux-glises for 11 years.’ ‘I’m sorry?’ ‘Departure and return. And someone once said to me, if you don’t leave, you can’t come back, because you’ve never left.’” (Matt Bai, “Newt. Again.” New York Times Magazine, 2/25/09)

William Wallace: “‘If you go out and see what’s happening in the Tea Party, the last thing you want is a passionless election,’ Gingrich says, then refers to the epic movie about the battle for Scottish independence in the 13th century. ‘Remember Braveheart? These people want somebody who plants a flag in the ground, gives a speech and yells “Charge!” That is, someone like him.” (Susan Page, “Rising From The Pack, Gingrich Invites Scrutiny,” USA Today, 11/21/11)

Pericles: “In a long interview on May 4, 1992, devoted almost exclusively to the topic of Gingrich, [former White House aide Richard] Darman concluded that Gingrich was ‘an unstable personality’ who talks about four or five great people in history, including Pericles and himself.” (Bob Woodward, “In His Debut In Washington’s Power Struggles, Gingrich Threw A Bomb,” The Washington Post, 12/24/11)

The Duke Of Wellington: “Obsessed recently with Arthur Wellesley, the Duke of Wellington, [Gingrich] likened the appropriations triumph to the way the British expeditionary force maneuvered against the French during the Peninsular War, a campaign in Portugal and Spain in the early 1800s that eventually led to Wellington’s ascendance and Napoleon’s abdication.” (Michael Weisskopf and David Maraniss, “In A Moment Of Crisis, The Speaker Persuades,” The Washington Post, 8/13/95)

A Viking:  “With his machine-gun staccato delivery, [Gingrich] is the center of attention. He terms himself a ‘Viking.’” (“Gingrich Delivers For GOP Faithful,” South Bend Tribune, 7/28/95)

Thomas Edison: “Once he took over GOPAC in 1986, the organization became what he called the creative thinking and research group of the Republican Party. ‘We are on the way to becoming the Bell Labs of politics,’ Mr. Gingrich proclaimed. ‘That’s the closest model you can find to what we do, and nobody else is in that business. The first thing you need at Bell Labs is a Thomas Edison, and the second thing you need is a real understanding of how you go from scientific theory to a marketable product.’” (Katharine Q. Seelye, “Birth Of A Vision,” The New York Times, 12/3/95)

Vince Lombardi: “By four in the morning, [Gingrich] had moved on to football metaphors. What the Republicans had accomplished, Gingrich said, was like the old Green Bay Packers sweep during the days of Coach Vince Lombardi: The opposition knows you are going to run at them, but they cannot stop you. Lombardi, Gingrich said, believed that the team that doesn’t break in the fourth quarter wins.” (Michael Weisskopf and David Maraniss, “In A Moment Of Crisis, The Speaker Persuades,” The Washington Post, 8/13/95)

The Wright Brothers:  “At that dinner, held in a convention center in Johnston, Gingrich sought to add more emotional lift into his stump speech. ‘I am asking you to embark with me on a voyage of invention and discovery,’ he said, ‘to be as bold and as brave as the Wright brothers.’” (Jason Horowitz, “Newt Gingrich Draws Contrast With Romney,” The Washington Post, 12/1/11)

Moses: “On this night, Gingrich congratulated his troops on standing united and inspired them with stories about Charles de Gaulle’s heroism and George Washington at Valley Forge … At one point, he likened himself, lightheartedly, to Moses. He’d help them cross the Red Sea once again, Gingrich vowed, but only if they promised, this time, to stay on the other side.” (Matt Bai, “Newt. Again.” New York Times Magazine, 2/25/09)