Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 8:58 AM


Obama plays golf


































More trouble in Obamaville?  The president's cash haul in April was down from that in March, and The Hill's report has this note of anxiety within it:

The Obama campaign is making a concerted effort to boost the number of small donations, as its affiliated super-PACs have not been able to compete with the big donations from wealthy individuals contributing to super-PAC’s affiliated with presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney.

The Romney small donor campaign is also picking up speed, and the Chicago gang must surely realize that their 3:1 spending advantage from 2008 is gone, vanished with the  hope and the change and the opponent who didn't counterpunch.

Thus the wailing over Citizens United, which continues in the pages of The New Yorker with the expert assistance of Jeffrey Toobin, author of The Nine.   It appears as though one of the new justices has brought new rules on press exchanges, or the retired Justice Stevens cannot let it go.  In either event, CU was Waterloo for Big Labor's structural advantage in elections, and the Chicago gang is panicked that not only has their candidate run up the worst record in the modern history of the presidency, they also don't have a massive cash advantage with which to obscure that set of facts or an opponent willing to accept their stage directions.


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Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 8:21 AM

The latest post from Tim Dunn, CEO of Crown Quest Operating and board member of the Texas Public Policy Foundation.  His earlier posts can be found via this link.


The 5-minute ENERGY Blog


POST 5:  THE US OIL SHALE BOOM


In my last Post I pointed out that once the price of oil increased from ten cents per “coke can” to twenty five cents entrepreneurs went to work.  I mentioned the Canadian industry (that the US Government has spurned) increasing production dramatically with difficult to access supplies.  At the now higher price of twenty five cents per coke can, US entrepreneurs (including yours truly) are also getting to work to find more organic, green, naturally occurring biofuel packed with solar power.  


The following graph I took from an excellent presentation given by Laredo Petroleum.  Laredo went public only last December, and is an example of investor dollars pouring into the oil space because of increased prices meeting technological driven opportunity.  This is their forecast of what will happen to US oil production over the next several years.

pastedGraphic.pdf


It is quite astonishing to consider the possibility that in a short five years US oil production might be restored to the previous peak rate reached forty years earlier.  


What took so long, why wasn’t this done a long time ago?


In my last post I mentioned that I believe that while we have plenty of energy resources, we are running out of easy to access, cheap, conventional oil.  Conventional oil is trapped in layers of sedimentary rock.  Conventional oil reservoirs might be a beach or sand bar, or a coral reef that got buried under thousands of feet of earth.


Then plant material (we call it “total organic carbon”) in nearby “source rock” forms oil and gas that begins to migrate and might get trapped in a layer of sand or limestone, if there is a barrier to further migration.  


Until recently it didn’t really occur to anyone to produce directly from the source rock.  But now we are using enhanced fracture stimulation technology to access oil trapped there.  This source rock is clay laminates we call shale that has one to ten percent “total organic carbon.”  The organic material is converted to oil and gas by the high pressure and temperature from being buried.  A slate black board or a slate roof is a good picture of what this material is like.


Where I am active in the Permian Basin we are fracturing a couple of thousand feet of shale source rock buried about two miles under the surface.  For each well, we pump about a million gallons of water and a million pounds of sand to prop open tiny microfractures, creating nano-French drains that allows oil and gas to migrate to the well bore.  We spend about two million dollars to drill and complete a well, and if we get a really good one it will initially produce a hundred barrels per day; that’s about the daily volume you could get from a garden hose turned up about half way.


It is working so well that a boom is occurring in my home town of Midland, Texas.  Hotels are full.  Truck drivers can make $70-100,000 per year.   Help Wanted signs are everywhere.  There are about 250,000 people living in the local area, and few houses for sale.  North Dakota has experienced something similar.  


At the conference where I heard Laredo speak, there was a lot of sentiment worrying that oil companies would do to oil prices what they did to gas prices; be so successful they cratered the price.  The oil market is a little different because it is a world market, while gas is a local, US only market.  Will that transpire? Perhaps.


But I would say it would likely happen, if it wasn’t for one thing.  Can you guess?  Here it is: around 85% of world oil reserves are controlled by governments.    Governments don’t like to invest to create new supplies; they like to pass out the goodies to create dependency and patronage.  An oil shale boom was about to start in Argentina recently and the government decided to nationalize the company that was the main mover.  The resulting chill could stifle development.


If we in the US continue our heritage of self-governance and allow investment and purchasing decisions to be made in the Market rather than by central planners, we will continue to lead in finding new supplies.  


This is the essence of American exceptionalism; we are an exception because we are self-governing.  That means our energy companies are private sector companies that discover new supplies like oil and gas shale, in spite of resistance from central planners and regulators.  Companies from all over the world are now investing in US oil shale to gain know-how.  The political decisions we make in the next decade are critical to the fate of the entire world in many ways, including future energy supplies.


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Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 8:02 AM


 
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 10:20 AM



On Yesterday's program I interviewed two writers for the Washington Post --one was Dan Balz, the Post's senior political correspondent and the other Jennifer Rubin, the Post's center-right blogger who has an enormous and growing following.  The transcripts of both interviews are here.  Both deserve to be read closely by the folks managing the media interaction of any campaign.

Balz of course is old school --informed, aware of every fact, but not predictive about the course of events.

Rubin, who had participated with a conference call with conservative bloggers and Ed Gillispie, one of Team Romney's  most senior advisors and media spokespeople, is much more of an opinion journalist.  She relays facts and observations, but she is also willing to opine on motives not fully in evidence and predict paths events will follow assuming various contingencies.

Both are journalists, and the distinction that is emerging among them and among all manner of journalists is not a good one for conservatives generally and Romney specifically.

Yesterday the Romney campaign reached out to so-called conservative bloggers, a group that included Rubin and other widely read "influencers."  The call didn't include so-called "regular reporters" or "left wing bloggers."  This was a mistake and I made my case with Rubin on the air and make it again here.

All of the media is now tightly bound up in one massive set of connections that are spiriting information and analysis along a million different pathways.  If I read and tweet about Article VI Blog's assessment of the approach of deeply divisive issues and it gets read by Jen Rubin who posts on David French's review of Obama's impact on evangelical support for Romney which then is read by the New York Times' Michael Shear and then impacts a post in the blog he contributes to, The Caucus, which catches my eye in time for an afternoon interview with Shear, where is that "story" coming from --traditional journalism, opinion journalism, "new media"-- and does it matter?  What matters is the impact it makes on voters or the influence it projects on decision-makers.

Over at Pinterest I have assembled five "boards" relevant to this post  --one of the "Influencers" who have a direct impact on the way I do my job as a journalist, one of the "real reporters" about whom I am in the dark on their political opinions, and one of the "Best of the Left," those journalists who work from the left side of the political aisle but whose work I read as often as I can anyway.  In addition to these collections of usual suspects, I have a board of "Key Voices Under 40," whom I believe to be the folks with the longest shelf life ahead of them -40 years or more if retirement ages keep moving backward.  Everyone in politics has an incentive to get to know these younger opinion-makers in the same way a band cherishes a young listener or a television program a viewer in the 18 to 25 year old demographic. And finally I have the radio people --the key players with massive national audiences made up of influencers and donors, CEOs and average voters.

The key is that all these people on all five "boards" all do the same thing, as do a thousand others.  These are the ones I find valuable because they are talented, industrious, and generally trustworthy even if their conclusions are wrong.  None of them lie even though all of them process information through their own unique prisms.

My suggestion for Team Romney is simple.  If you are going to launch a story into the media, convene a relatively small call exactly as you did yesterday, but include representatives from four or five of the groups, two or three from each in fact.  If you want coverage across the media waterfront, then launch boats all along the shore, not just from one wharf, and that one somewhat arbitrarily designated.

The key is to blow up the remaining crumbling distinctions that suggest Dan Balz and Jennifer Rubin are somehow different.  They aren't.  They are doing exactly the same thing --pushing text out to readers.

This simple recognition turns the current model of news management on its head.  The old model more often than not tries to launch a story through one or more television networks, as though the hoary old network Sunday shows still set the tone for the week ahead instead of the alarm clocks for the sleepiest old school media types on the planet.

The president will never engage in the new model --his record is too disastrous, and his halting, increasingly incoherent filibusters will not impress or persuade.  He will stick to very structured, one-on-ones where intimidated MSMers stay on script and don't probe even the most obvious questions, such as: "Do you think the 61% of North Carolina voters who voted to amend their Constitution to protect traditional marriage need to 'evolve' Mr. President?  Are they bigots?"

But Mitt Romney and his team can carry this off.  Run an experiment:  Pick two representatives from each of my five boards.  Yes, those ten an interesting dinner party, but much more, you'd have a heck of a conference call with Ed Gillespie, Andrea Saul or Eric Fehrnstrom, and if Romney gets on such a call, it will be news across the entire online world in a nano-second.  

The rules have changed, and the means to impacting the news cycle has been revolutionized.  If Team Romney gets that key point --and it appears that it does-- it will dominate the news cycle even more effectively then they have dominated the past two weeks.

 

 
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 12:41 AM

But as Ed Driscoll points out, low information voters have a much greater vulnerability to misinformation, even when the misinformation is intended as an ironic commentary.

It was a just a couple of months back when a story surfaced that asserted the president blames Fox News for misleading people into believing he was a Muslim.  Will Newsweek get blasted by the president for an intentional act that results in erroneous conclusions?

The new CBS/New York Times poll results have got to be causing the president and the brilliant Chicago team second thoughts about their attempt to "evolve" the president with only upside in the electorate's collective mind.  Turns out voters have mistaken "evolution" for transparent "manipulation." These numbers add to the feel of an accelerating fall, and while it is inevitable that the president will have good weeks and a good month or two before November, his standing with the public is low and going lower, and the frenzied twists and turns --a terrorism win leaked, a rushed announcement on same sex marriage, a lurch to Bain-- fuels the sense that panic is setting in as the awful reality of his record combines with the approach of the election to focus the dwindling number of undecideds on the referendum ahead.


 

 
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 9:50 AM


My Washington Examiner column this morning takes a closer look at Mitt Romney’s speech to Liberty University graduates and their families.


Incredibly Team Obama has begun the week by raising the issue of jobs, which opens the door for Romney to take on the Bain issue forcefully and in the context of how dynamic capitalism works with a detailed review of his job-creating record at Bain as well as his superb management of the Olympics and Massachusetts.


The flailing in Chicago continues.  The polling on same sex marriage must have been so bad as to require a pivot asap.


Also, transcripts of last week's conversations with Jonah Goldberg and Dennis Prager on their new books are now posted here, and so too will be the interview with Arthur Goldberg.


Thanks to the many of you who joined the small donors campaign over the weekend.  We need many, many more $50, $100 and higher contributions, and my ActRight list lays out all the key campaigns and candidates, beginning with Romney's campaign which, as Halperin's piece details, faces a blizzard of negative adds between now and November.


Those of you looking for my Pinterest boards will find them here, and the explanatory note here.


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Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 9:33 AM

The weekly column from Clark Judge:

The Constitutional Convention and The 2012 Electionby Clark S. Judge: managing director, White House Writers Group, Inc.; chairman, Pacific Research Institute

Today is Monday, May 14.  In 1787, also on Monday, May 14th, in Philadelphia, the Constitutional Convention held its opening session.  

Now, two hundred and twenty five years later, we are engaged in a great presidential campaign that, at its most essential level, is about the future of the governmental system the delegates to that convention wrought.  For in the last four years we have seen challenges to the long accepted meaning of many of the features and guarantees of the Philadelphia constitution.

In no particular order, here are examples:

The manner of recent presidential appointments including to the National Labor Relations Board challenged widely shared understandings about the constitutionally mandated advice and consent role of the Senate.

The expansive and aggressive use of regulation – for example, EPA’s moves to reclassify CO2 as a pollutant because of its supposed impact on climate after Congress had repeatedly rejected similar proposals – has challenged the line between legislative and executive powers.

By overriding bondholders, this administration’s federal auto bailout arguably challenged long understood constitutional limits to taking property without due process and upset the constitutionally mandated uniform rules of bankruptcy.

By requiring Catholic and other religiously affiliated institutions to provide health coverage that violated basic denominational beliefs, federal Obamacare challenged the widely understood standards of religious liberty.

In this year’s state of the union address, the president suggested that during a second term he would compel states to accept his spending priorities as their own, anticipating a challenge to the constitutional concept of federalism, as long understood.

As former White House counsel Boyden Gray has pointed out, the framing of the Dodd-Frank financial regulation bill that the administration championed so vigorously challenges fundamental constitutional rules regarding judicial review.

As Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy suggested in the recent high court hearings on the administration’s signature health care legislation, the central feature of Obamacare challenges the long-established relationship between the government and the citizen, in other words, basic constitutional understandings of liberty.

Reading the record of the Philadelphia deliberations, you can’t help but be struck at how seriously the Framers took the purposes detailed in the Constitution’s preamble: “form a more perfect union… establish justice… insure domestic tranquility… provide for the common defense… promote the general welfare… secure the blessings of liberty.”   These terms come up repeatedly in their debates as failures of government under the Articles of Confederation and as the goals for their project.

Would they have said that the Fast and Furious program is an example of establishing justice?

Would they have agreed that radically downsizing the Navy provides for the common defense?

Is a reelection campaign designed to stoke animosity between economic and social groups consistent with insuring domestic tranquility?

Most of all, perhaps, when our senior military officer names the national debt our biggest national security challenge… when bond rating agencies downgrade the country’s credit standing… when major federal trust funds are careening toward bankruptcy… when general fund deficits and debt are projected permanently to top levels previously seen only in the single most expensive year of World War II, thanks to spending beyond levels we have ever seen, at least in peacetime… is utterly refusing to address any element of this spending crisis an example of providing for the common defense, promoting the general welfare or securing the blessings of liberty for ourselves and our posterity?

These are not just my questions.  In calls around the country over the last few weeks, I have repeatedly heard anxiety expressed about the future of America’s fundamental institutions: the open economy, the family, religious liberty, as well as the Constitution.

Yes, anemic economic growth and the lack of job creation are major worries, too.  Many ask, how could the administration have spent so much money for, we were told, stimulating the economy and got so little for it?

Granting all that, still I wonder, is it too much to say that this election is shaping up into a new Constitutional Convention, in which we the people will decide the character of our country for generations to come?

 

 
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 8:50 PM

I spent the weekend building out my Pinterest.com boards. If you are already on Pinterest, you know what that means.  If you don't get the reference, you will soon.  It won't be long before Pinterest is as ubiquitous as Twitter.  You can "follow" my Pinterest, just like my Twitter feed, by searching hughhewitt at the site, or Google “Hugh Hewitt and Pinterest” and you are there.

Why Pinterest? Because along with Twitter it is reshaping information flows.

Blogging at places like this site, Powerline, HotAir, Michelle Malkin and Instanpundit isn't going anywhere, and the big aggregators of center-right opinion and reporting like NationalReview.com, Townhall.com and the Washington Examine remain key crossroads of the conservative movement.  Smaller sites like WeeklyStandard.com and  CommentaryMagazine.com are key to the generation of ideas and impact to Manhattan-Beltway influencers.  The big three news organizations, WSJ.COM, WashinngtonPost.com and NYTimes.com are grist for all mills.  But editing this massive flow to a manageable amount and sorting by importance and correcting for spin and bias is the work of at-large editors.  Everyone who presumes to link and to tweet is one such would-be editor. Pinterest is another powerful tool in the hands of the new news sherpas.

Facebook is a great platform as well, though there are some flaws that limit it's utility as a platform for news, opinion and ideas dissemination as opposed to pure social networking.

Twitter is the most powerful platform going, and its traffic actually bends public debate in real time. It is impossible to be well informed without a Tweet feed that is at least partially connected to the country's key influencers.  Not following a fairly robust Tweet stream is like not watching television or not reading newspapers. 

Sure, the news will get to you eventually, but not with the speed with which it moves itself.  Old "news" isn't really "news" at all.

Twitter moves at the speed of text --very fast-- but the impact and record it creates is rarely significant beyond the minute in which it is posted, though like waves and wind upon a sailing ship, tweets drive stories though most times you can't see a record of that impact.

Now arrives Pinterest.com, a visual, deeply impactful and far more lasting message-delivery system for those in the news and opinion business, as well as in marketing of any sort.

I have known about it for some time, but to invest in a social platform too early is to spend a lot of time trying to harvest very few eyes and ears.  When my friend Rick Calvert at BlogworldExpo.com told me it was time to move, I did.  This is Rick's world, and he is rarely wrong.  (There will be a lot of Pinterest talk at the New York BlogWorld and New Media Expo in early June.)

Pinterest crossed the 10 million-user threshold sometime ago, and its growth will be exponential going forward.  The reason is obvious to any user:  It collects and categorizes information in a semi permanent, useful assemblage of topics.

If you google "Pinterest and Hugh Hewitt" you will see what I mean.  I have about two dozen categories of interest, from “The Influencers” to “Key Voices Under 40” to “Real

Reporters” to “Best of the Left” as well as "Speechifying" "Radio People," “God People,” and many categories of books including, of course, "My Books."

If any of my listeners want to know whom I read, watch on the tube or follow on Twitter, all of their images, links and pointers are collected there.  And not just collected there, but easy to access and follow. 

Guests for today's show?  Collected there.

Speeches past and pending?  Right there.

Books I am reading or have read or mentioned on show? Their  images at my Pintarest feed, and not just for the afternoon post at HughHewitt.com.  My "Necessary Book Shelf" of the books most crucial to understanding the war we are in, one of the lists most frequently asked for by listeners, is there.

And the writers on faith I think most crucial to people living here and now?  Also there.

I suspect most serious journalists will get around to this sort of a site.  Many scoffed at Twitter when it arrived, but most have now migrated there.  It is all about serving your audience of readers or viewers, those who use you as a proxy editor or gatekeeper.

If as I wrote in Blog six years ago "the byline is the brand," then Pinerest.com takes the byline-brand deeper into the journalist's/influencer/opinion maker's life.

Welcome to the newest show.

 

 
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 8:20 AM

It is $5 Friday.  Go and give $5 (or $50 or $500) to your favorite candidate or cause, confident that the wind is at your back, because it sure has been in the president's face for the past seven days.

Rarely, in fact, has a candidate had as bad a week as President Obama did over the past Friday to Friday.

An awful jobs report was followed by election results in Europe that foreshadow the fall's rejection of the president, and then it got worse.

The hilariously overdone Julia made the president and his vaunted Chicago Team an object of scorn, and the president's imaginary friend won't be forgotten by Team Romney --well, forever.  "Julia, Julia, Julia" will be the chant in Tampa Bay.  Can we get a remix of Bobby Sherman's "Julie" please?  Close enough as it is, but just a tweak will make it perfect as a reminder of the president's vision of dependency for all, power for a few.

Slow Joe Biden got out over his skies and tripped the president for the 50th time, and president fell hard, declaring for same sex marriage the day after North Carolina --a key swing state-- rejected the idea by an overwhelming margin.  Even the president's cheering section at Politico had to admit the move hurt the president in pretty much every swing state.

Then the president jetted off to be with George, Babs and the Hollywood set, which Manhattan-Beltway media elites think is grand but which doesn't sit well with the 11%  who are unemployed or so discouraged they have dropped out of the hunt.  He did arrange to raffle off two tickets for the masses, which is pretty much how his economic policies have worked for the past four years.  His close friends do well.  The people he promised to help get a glimpse in the window.

Did I mention the polls?  Everyone one of them which sample "likely voters" is full of terrible news for the president, and Gallup's the worst news of all, and it was of registered voters.

Mitt Romney had his challenges of course, assailed by 50 year old charges that he was the popular kid at his high school and bullied someone whom no one had ever heard of during a Senate campaign, a governorship campaign and the first presidential campaign not to mention 30 primaries.  America shrugged.  That's it?  That's all Obama can gather on Romney?  And what exactly did the president do during his high school years, and college years, and as a "community organizer" and at Harvard Law?  That wasn't a productive door to open, but these are desperate times in Chicago.

So desperate that the president's friends leaked delicate national security info to try and make the boss look competent with regards to something.  A very good thing that the good guys penetrated the bad guys and got the vest and blew up a senior terrorist.  A very bad thing that we know about it.

Oh, and Israel is moving to war footing.  And the Euro is staggered and dragging our markets down.  And Dodd-Frank didn't stop J.P.Morgan from blowing a couple of billion any more than it stopped Jon Corzine from blowing much much more.

The president's in a political free fall, but his pals in MSM don't/won't see it.  Instead they write about Mitt Romney's problems even as the former Massachusetts governor has brought the GOP together behind him --what, no "brokered convention"-- and even as he moves from Obama-indicting backdrop to backdrop, this week with the Colorado oil fields that haven't been explored and tapped messaging to the country that gas need not be as high as it is, or unemployement as high as it is.  Governor Mitch Daniels was my guest on Thursday's show --transcript here-- and his point about keeping the eye on the economic ball needs to be repeated every day to every GOP candidate.

Sign up to volunteer at MittRomney.com.  Go to the ActRight button in the right column and pick at least one other campaign to support.  The grown ups and the serious people are coming back to clean up after the crazy party, and there's a chance we might be ok.  There's also a chance he'll burn the house down trying, Keystone Kops style, to save his job.

Meanwhile, the conservative renaissance continues to pour out new arguments, books and blueprints on how to execute the U Turn we desperately need.  The most recent is Arthur Brook's The Road To Freedom.  Arthur is AEI's president, and he'll be my guest in hours two and three today, talking about how to make the moral case for free enterprise, arguments that would be like an untranslated dialect to the Hollywood folks cheering the president last night, but which are intuitive and deeply embedded in the American DNA.  Get the book --get a few copies for your friends-- and set the stage for the campaign.




Off to Colorado Springs where I will broadcast tonight and speechify tomorrow.  If you need a Mother's Day present, go give a donation to Mitt Romney, wrap the receipt in a box, and tell the moms in your life you are giving her the future of the country.

Speaking of Mother's Day, here's Ann Romney's piece from an experienced mom,
and here are the somewhat hurried scribblings of a brand new mom on the eve of her first Mother's Day, which will probably sound familiar to many moms out there.

Thanks to all those moms for making a great country.  It wasn't the government that raised the nation's Julias.  It was you and all the dads.

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Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 10:58 PM


 
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