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Apples To Apples: Rudy v. Mitt

Tuesday, July 3, 2007  |  posted by Hugh Hewitt
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Rudy raised $15 million for the primaries, Mitt $14 million. 

Mitt added 80,000 50,000 donors.  Rudy more than 56,000.

The top three Dems raised a total of $69 million, and the top 3 GOPers $49 million (but these numbers exclude any money Thompson raised, and lumps in general and primary totals.)  Cast a skeptical eye on any story suggesting these numbers represent a huger momentum shift for the Dems, at least until the fine print is in.  When Thompson’s  primary raise is added to the primary raise of Romney/Giuliani/McCain, the GOP total primary campaign haul could very well be the same between the parties.  The Dems almost certainly have more total primary donors by far.

Bottom line –Rudy and Mitt are very strong candidates going forward, and Thompson may be.  All three of them stand to get some Q3 lift as well from the McCain donor diaspora searching for a new home.

Politico’s Mike Allen will join me in the fourth segment of the first hour today to discuss.

Ed Morrissey argues the parrot’s not dead:

Rudy’s increase only comes to about a million or so over his Q1 numbers, but most people will recall that Giuliani only had two months of fundraising in that quarter. This time, he had all three months and only netted a million more in primary money. That’s still better news than Romney got for his organizational efforts. Despite riding high in the Iowa and New Hampshire polls, Romney took in about a little under 33% less in Q2, and Romney has had to loan himself an additional $6 million to keep his financing edge.

Consider, then, the stories over the last two days about the McCain campaign’s woes. He dropped about $2 million from his Q1 numbers. He only trailed Romney by less than $3 million in Q2 despite taking a beating over immigration, and Rudy by $4 million in primary funds. His campaign may need a lot of work and probably remains Quixotic at best, but in comparison, his performance doesn’t appear as bad as it looked yesterday.

UPDATE: As with the post below, I have corrected my misreading of the reports on the Romney campaign’s total of new donors.

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