I and most American males can scan the convoluted Week 15 NFL playoff scenarios and understand immediately the odds of the various teams making it into the playoffs. We can do so no matter how bizarre the tie-breaking rules or unusual the match-ups on week 16. This is the result of accumulated knowledge of both that particular season’s ebbs and flows, but also the wisdom of the decades applied. (Vikings choke, don’t bet against Parcells etc.)
So I am scanning this morning’s World Cup scenarios and find I have no way to figure out the real odds of the U.S. advancing Thursday to the next round, nor can I find a tote board where cold cash is sorting out the variables.
So what is it, soccer fans? A 10% shot for the Americans to get to Round 2? Or is it U.S. v. Soviet Union in hockey, 1980.