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A Romney Surge In Florida?

Monday, January 28, 2008  |  posted by Hugh Hewitt

Yes, according to Public Policy Polling. The calls were made after the Crist endorsement, and after the McCain low blow against Romney on the war, but before the Alito story began making the rounds. If correct, the MSM which has been obsessing on the Crist enorsement and ignoring the backlash against McCain on conservative core issues like Justice Alito and immigration will be as dumbfounded as it was after Hillary’s win in New Hampshire. The press release:

Romney expands lead in Florida

Raleigh, N.C.-Mitt Romney has opened up a seven point lead over John McCain in Florida, according to the newest survey by Public Policy Polling. Romney is at 35%, followed by McCain at 28%. Mike Huckabee has 13% and Rudy Giuliani is at 12%. 40% of respondents reported making their decision on who to vote for either over the weekend or in the last week. Romney has a 36-26 lead over McCain among those surveyed who said they made up their mind over the weekend and a 47-28 lead with voters who made their decision in the last week.

6% of voters remain undecided. If their choices distribute the same way as those polled who had made a decision the final result in Florida will be 37% for Romney, 30% for McCain, 14% for Huckabee, 13% for Giuliani, and 5% for Ron Paul.

“The tide in Florida has been breaking Mitt Romney’s way over the last week,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “It looks like he’s picking up support both from voters who had remained undecided and from folks who no longer think Huckabee or Giuliani has a chance.”

25% of survey respondents indicated they had already cast their ballots during the early voting period. Romney’s advantage with that group is 39-30.

The race among those who intend to vote on election day is tighter. Romney leads McCain 34-28 with that group.

PPP surveyed 680 likely Republican primary voters on January 27th. The survey’s margin of error is/- 3.8%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

Complete results are attached and can be found at

If you have questions about this release or would like an interview regarding this release please contact Dean Debnam at (888) 621-6988 or 919-880-4888.

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