A Divided GOP
CLINTON: AR, AZ, MA, MO, NY, NJ, OK, TN
OBAMA: AL, CT, CO, DE, GA, ID, IL, KS, MN, ND, UT
HUCKABEE: AL, AR, GA, TN, WV
MCCAIN: AZ, CT, DE, IL, MO, NJ, NY, OK
ROMNEY: CO, MA, MN, MT, ND, UT
McCain has strength across the country and a lead in delegates, but nowhere near 50% of the GOP’s votes.
Huck’s strength is the south; Romney’s the mountain west plus Michigan and Massachusetts.
Rush and Dr. Dobson are aligned against the front-runner, which complicates McCain’s task enormously. Romney and Huckabee in for the distance, and why not given the map’s much less punishing pace from here on in? Each can claim 25 to 30% of the party, and sectional strength. With Louisiana, Kansas and Washington State voting on Saturday, and Maryland, Virginia and DC next Tuesday, there are six very different electorates to decode, and beyond that Wisconsin, Ohio and Texas.
“A rough and tumble business,” McCain called it tonight in an attempt to extend a peace offering to Romney. The wrestling will continue and CPAC will be very interesting indeed.